Terms of Reference
 
Consultancy: Conflict Analyst for Conflict Risk Mapping and Analysis
 
1. Background and Context: Danish Demining Group (DDG) is a unit within the Danish Refugee Council (DRC) specialised in Armed Violence Reduction (AVR) and Humanitarian Mine Action (HMA). DDG was established in 1998 and has been operational in the Horn of Africa since 1999. 

The focus of our work has increasingly moved towards AVR, including community-driven approaches to improving public security provision, conflict management and conflict analysis and sensitivity. 

In Kenya, DDG’s portfolio includes a cross-border community safety and conflict management project in Turkana, West Pokot and Karamoja and conflict assessment and GIS mapping focused on documenting and analyzing changing conflict dynamics with the aim of contributing to conflict prevention and management.
 
DDG Kenya has secured funding for two projects focused on mapping and analysing conflict dynamics in Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia border areas and along the Lamu Port and South Sudan Ethiopia Transport Corridor (LAPSSET) Corridor. 

The first project focusses on mapping and analysing existing and potential impacts of the LAPSSET project with initial focus on Lamu. The second project focusses on analysing and mapping transnational and cross-border conflict dynamics along the Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia borders. 

The projects will produce conflict assessments and two GIS maps containing information and analysis of conflict risks. The maps will be designed for use in dialogue and decision-making as well as donor strategy review.
 
DDG is looking for one or several highly qualified and motivated conflict analyst to provide technical support to the project team for the implementation of these innovative and challenging projects.
 
Purpose: To map conflict risks stemming from the construction of the Lamu Port South Sudan Ethiopia Transport (LAPSSET) Corridor in Lamu and along Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia borders.

Through data collection and visualisation on GIS maps, the project will provide stakeholders with a user-friendly tool to access and interpret data and developments related to conflict. The GIS maps will enable stakeholders to access credible information and data of changes in the focus areas over time. 

A key part of the analysis will be based on a participatory approach, which entails local stakeholders’ participation in analysing the data visualised through GIS mapping tool. The participatory analysis will provide the basis for multi-stakeholder dialogue around conflict risks and how these can be reduced through dialogue and policy-making. 

The projects will produce overview and analysis of conflict risks and make recommendations for mitigation strategies. For the border areas the maps will furthermore include an overview of donor supported initiatives to reduce conflict.
 
2. Responsibilities
 
2.1. Scope of Consultancy: The consultant will support the project by developing a sound research methodology, identify issues and areas to map, provide written conflict analysis and other high quality written products, oversee field research (can potentially be done remotely).
 
The consultant will contribute to the development of research methodology for field research under the border areas’ conflict assessment and mapping project.
 
2.2. Key tasks (all or some of them):
 
2.2.1. Carry out desk research on conflict dynamics in Lamu, with special focus on the areas to be affected by the LAPSSET Corridor projects and developments.

2.2.2. Identify existing and potential conflict risks linked to LAPSSET-related developments.
 
2.2.3. Design and lead data collection in Lamu with DDG and project partners.
 
2.2.4. Develop indicators for future monitoring of conflict dynamics around LAPSSET in Lamu. Present to peer review group and incorporate feedback.
 
2.2.5. Analyse the data and support DDG and partner staff to design GIS map.
 
2.2.6. Review report of findings and lessons learned from the development of the GIS map and produce a publishable report and guide to the use of a GIS map.
 
2.2.7. Support DDG and partners to organise and carry out consultation and validation meetings with key local and national level stakeholders together with DDG and partners.
 
2.2.8. For the LAPSSET mapping project, produce a good draft conflict risk analysis report, incorporate comments from DDG and partners and produce the final report according to structure and guideline agreed with DDG.
 
2.2.9. Identify and collect existing conflict relevant data for border areas and issues related to destabilising transnational factors.
 
2.2.10. Ensure that field research guide for border conflict assessment and mapping project enables collection of relevant field data.
 
2.2.11. Review data gathered in the field and provide guidance to field research.
 
2.2.12. Organise and visualise (in collaboration with GIS mapping specialists) the data on GIS map
 
2.2.13. For the border conflict assessment and mapping project, analyse data and provide draft report for lead conflict analyst to incorporate in conflict assessment.
 
2.2.14. Produce guideline for border conflict map.
 
2.3. Methodology
 
2.3.1. Desk research and identification and secure approval for the use of this data as necessary.
 
2.3.2. Key Informant Interviews.
 
2.3.3. Design primary data collection tools, train data collectors and oversee data collection together with DDG and partner team.
 
2.3.4. Analysis of data and identify how to make data visualisation on GIS map most useful to inform stakeholder dialogue.
 
2.4. Key Deliverables / Outputs

The main outputs that the consultant(s) will provide are high quality GIS maps focused on conflict risks around LAPSSET-related developments in Kenya and cross-border conflict dynamics along the Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia borders. 

The secondary outputs are 2 reports covering data analysis and reflections on the utility of the GIS maps along with user guidelines for the GIS maps. The structure and length of the report will be agreed with DDG.
 
3. DDG’S Responsibilities
 
DDG will cover transport to and from necessary field visits and meetings. 

DDG will provide insurance for the consultant.
 
4. Reporting Arrangements
 
The consultant will report to the DDG Kenya Country Director.

5. Duration of Assignment
 
To start as soon as possible. 

The assignment may be carried out by one consultant or divided between two or more consultants. The assignment shall be completed in 5 to 6 months. 

The number of days are to be agreed with DDG. The work plan is to be developed in consultation with DDG.

6. Expected Profile of Consultant
  • Advanced university degree in conflict analysis, peace studies, or similar field
  • At least 5 years’ experience conducting high quality conflict analysis
  • Experience of working with quantitative data
  • Experience of using data visualisation as a tool for communication and analysis is desirable.
  • Indebt knowledge of the region, the LAPSSET Corridor and conflict dynamics in the target areas is desirable
  • Outstanding research and analytical skills
  • Experience of developing research tools and carrying out research
  • Ability to provide clear guidance to field research teams
  • Proven ability to deliver against targets and meeting deadlines within short timeframe
  • Fluency in English and excellent written English
  • Relevant computer skills: Word, Excel, internet
  • A good team player able to work with partners with different skills sets
7. General
 
Commitments: DRC has a Humanitarian Accountability Framework, outlining its global accountability committments. All staff are required to contribute to the achievement of this framework (http://www.drc.dk/HAF.4265.0.html)

8. Application Process
 
Interested consultants who meet the required profile are invited to submit an expression of interest including their CV and a cover letter to job@ddghoa.org. 

Deadline is 9th November 2014. 

Applicants are requested to stipulate their daily rate, number of days they estimate the work will take, their availability between mid-November 2014 and end of March 2015 in the cover letter. 

Please use subject heading Ref Conflict Analyst.

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